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Last Update: 2012-02-04 *Forecasts are changed beginning of March, July and December. See Press Conferences. |
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In response to the crisis in 2008-9, the economy of Bosnia and Herzegovina switched to slow-motion mode: modest GDP decline initially (2009), modest recovery thereafter. The current worsening of the global business climate is likely to decelerate GDP growth further. The economy's ability to grow fast, as we could observe between 2000 and 2008, is hindered by an unfavourable business environment due to intensified political stalemate. Compared to our forecast from July 2011, we now expect less GDP growth in 2012 and less increase in industrial production. Foreign trade deficits in recent months have been somewhat higher than expected, so that now we count with a current account deficit of over 7% of GDP in 2011. Inflation may remain slightly below 4%, which is nevertheless high for a currency board country.
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II. Data by countries - Bosnia and Herzegovina in: wiiw Handbook of Statistics 2011: CD-ROM - Excel, wiiw Handbook of Statistics No. 2011, November 2011 DETAILS & BUY Individual chapter in Excel format of the Handbook of Statistics 2011 - Excel edition. |
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Josef Pöschl Economist e-mail: poeschl@wiiw.ac.at Phone: (+43-1) 533 66 10-37 Bosnia and Herzegovina, Turkey; macroeconomic analysis |
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Renate Prasch Statistics e-mail: prasch@wiiw.ac.at Phone: (+43-1) 533 66 10-20 Bosnia and Herzegovina, Croatia, Slovenia; wiiw Industrial Database |
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wiiw Handbook of Statistics 2011: Central, East and Southeast Europe wiiw Handbook of Statistics No. 2011, November 2011 399 pages including 254 Tables and 117 Graphs DETAILS & BUY 18 countries covered in detail Time series given for 2000, 2005, 2007-2010, graphs range from 2006 to September 2011 Activity breakdown by NACE Rev. 2 classification included for the majority of countries Key indicators are now available also for neighbouring countries (AT, D) and for other cohesion countries (GR, IR, PT) allowing for easy cross-country comparisons ...more |
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wiiw Handbook of Statistics 2011: CD-ROM - Excel wiiw Handbook of Statistics No. 2011, November 2011 30 Excel files including 8 Chapters and 18 Countries DETAILS & BUY The Handbook of Statistics - Excel version is published annually and contains revised, updated and expanded annual and monthly statistics. Time series and related tables are extracted from the Annual, Monthly and Foreign Direct Investment Databases maintained and regularly updated by wiiw. The download or CD-ROM includes: PDF (with identical content as the hardcopy). Content 18 countries covered in detail Time series in MS Excel format run from 1990-2010 (as far as available) New features: Activity breakdown by NACE Rev. 2 classification included for the majority of count...more |
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I. Cross-country overview in: wiiw Handbook of Statistics 2011: CD-ROM - Excel, wiiw Handbook of Statistics No. 2011, November 2011 DETAILS & BUY Individual chapter in Excel format of the Handbook of Statistics 2011 - Excel edition....more |
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II. Structural indicators - 1. Main economic indicators in: wiiw Handbook of Statistics 2011: CD-ROM - Excel, wiiw Handbook of Statistics No. 2011, November 2011 DETAILS & BUY Individual chapter in Excel format of the Handbook of Statistics 2011 - Excel edition. ...more |
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II. Structural indicators - 2. Gross domestic product by activities in: wiiw Handbook of Statistics 2011: CD-ROM - Excel, wiiw Handbook of Statistics No. 2011, November 2011 DETAILS & BUY Individual chapter in Excel format of the Handbook of Statistics 2011 - Excel edition....more |
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II. Structural indicators - 3. Employment by activities in: wiiw Handbook of Statistics 2011: CD-ROM - Excel, wiiw Handbook of Statistics No. 2011, November 2011 DETAILS & BUY Individual chapter in Excel format of the Handbook of Statistics 2011 - Excel edition....more |
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II. Structural indicators - 4. Labour productivity and wages by activities in: wiiw Handbook of Statistics 2011: CD-ROM - Excel, wiiw Handbook of Statistics No. 2011, November 2011 DETAILS & BUY Individual chapter in Excel format of the Handbook of Statistics 2011 - Excel edition....more |
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II. Structural indicators - 5. Gross domestic product by expenditure in: wiiw Handbook of Statistics 2011: CD-ROM - Excel, wiiw Handbook of Statistics No. 2011, November 2011 DETAILS & BUY Individual chapter in Excel format of the Handbook of Statistics 2011 - Excel edition....more |
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II. Structural indicators - 6. Gross fixed capital formation by type and activities in: wiiw Handbook of Statistics 2011: CD-ROM - Excel, wiiw Handbook of Statistics No. 2011, November 2011 DETAILS & BUY Individual chapter in Excel format of the Handbook of Statistics 2011 - Excel edition....more |
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II. Structural indicators - 7. Foreign trade in goods in: wiiw Handbook of Statistics 2011: CD-ROM - Excel, wiiw Handbook of Statistics No. 2011, November 2011 DETAILS & BUY Individual chapter in Excel format of the Handbook of Statistics 2011 - Excel edition....more |
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Recovery - in Low Gear across Tough Terrain: Gear Will be Even Lower and Terrain Tougher (by Peter Havlik) wiiw Press Conference, 29 November 2011, 10 a.m. DETAILS FREE DOWNLOAD Presentation of wiiw's latest growth forecast for the countries of Central, East and Southeast Europe for the period 2010-2013. Presentation of the new wiiw Handbook of Statistics 2011. ...more |
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Recovery: Limp and Battered wiiw Press Conference, 7 July 2011, 10 a.m. DETAILS FREE DOWNLOAD The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies (wiiw) has just published its latest Analyses and Forecasts. The report, titled Recovery: Limp and Battered, analyses current economic situation and medium-term forecast for the countries of Central, East and Southeast Europe. In 2011 the recovery will encompass all countries in the CESEE region – even the laggards that did not grow in 2010. However GDP growth will not accelerate much in countries where the recession ended already in 2010. Later on, GDP growth rates will stabilize throughout the whole region at around 4 to 5 pe...more |
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Recovery: Limp and Battered (press conference presentation in German) wiiw Press Conference, 7 July 2011, 10 a.m. DETAILS FREE DOWNLOAD The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies (wiiw) has just published its latest Analyses and Forecasts. The report, titled Recovery: Limp and Battered, analyses current economic situation and medium-term forecast for the countries of Central, East and Southeast Europe. In 2011 the recovery will encompass all countries in the CESEE region – even the laggards that did not grow in 2010. However GDP growth will not accelerate much in countries where the recession ended already in 2010. Later on, GDP growth rates will stabilize throughout the whole region at around 4 to 5 pe...more |
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Schuldendynamik, Finanzierungssalden, Ausgaben- und Sparverhalten (vor und nach der Finanzkrise) (by Vladimir Gligorov, Mario Holzner, Michael Landesmann and Roman Römisch) wiiw Press Conference, 7 July 2011, 10 a.m. DETAILS FREE DOWNLOAD In einem speziellen Kapitel („Debt dynamics, flow of funds and deleveraging“) des Konjunkturberichtes "Recovery: Limp and Battered" wird die Verschuldungsdynamik nach Sektoren (Haushalte, Unternehmen, Staat) vor und nach dem Ausbruch der Finanzkrise untersucht und mit den GIPS-Ländern (Griechenland, Irland, Portugal, Spanien) verglichen. Die Last der privaten Verschuldung hat wichtige Konsequenzen für das Ausgaben- und Sparverhalten des Haushalts- und Unternehmenssektors und damit für die Entwicklung der Inlandsnachfrage (Konsum und Investitionen). Dabei zeigen sich sehr unterschiedliche Muste...more |
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Debt dynamics, flow of funds and deleveraging (by Vladimir Gligorov, Mario Holzner, Michael Landesmann and Roman Römisch) wiiw Press Conference, 7 July 2011, 10 a.m. DETAILS FREE DOWNLOAD In a special chapter ("Debt dynamics, flow of funds and deleveraging") of the wiiw Forecast "Recovery: Limp and Battered", the debt developments of the private (households, corporate) and public sectors before and after the start of the financial crisis are examined and compared with those in the GIPS countries (Greece, Ireland, Portugal, Spain). The burden of the build-up of private sector debt before the crisis has important consequences for spending and savings behaviour of households and enterprises and hence for the development of domestic demand (consumption and investment). In this resp...more |
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Diverging Patterns of FDI Recovery (press conference presentation in German) (by Gabor Hunya) wiiw Press Conference, 7 June 2011, 10 a.m. DETAILS FREE DOWNLOAD The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies (wiiw) presents an analysis of foreign direct investment (FDI) in 20 Central, East and Southeast European countries based on the latest update of its database. FDI is still of great importance for the development of CEECs especially as the domestic engines of economic growth are still weak, and fiscal consolidation drags on many of the economies. The economic recovery that has started in the region is mainly based on external demand, which has upgraded the role of foreign investors whose subsidiaries produce the main part of exp...more |
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Recovery - in Low Gear across Tough Terrain (press conference presentation in German) wiiw Press Conference, 10 March 2011, 10 a.m. DETAILS FREE DOWNLOAD The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies (wiiw) has just published its latest Analyses and Forecasts. The report, titled Recovery – in Low Gear across Tough Terrain, analyses current economic situation and medium-term forecast for the countries of Central, East and Southeast Europe. All Central, East and Southeast European (CESEE) countries will return to growth in 2011. The post-crisis GDP growth will be slower than before and not suffice to generate additional jobs. The role of external demand gradually weakens, while both household consumption and gross fixed inves...more |
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The global crisis and the countries of Central, East and Southeast Europe: discussion of economic impacts and outlook for the region (German) (by Peter Havlik) wiiw Press Conference, 18 November 2010, 10 a.m. DETAILS FREE DOWNLOAD |
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Will exports prevail over austerity? (press conference presentation in German) (by Vasily Astrov and Mario Holzner) wiiw Press Conference, 8 July 2010, 10 a.m. DETAILS FREE DOWNLOAD The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies (wiiw) has just published its latest Analyses and Forecasts. The report, titled Will exports prevail over austerity?, analyses current economic situation and medium-term forecast for the countries of Central, East and Southeast Europe, and China The Central, East and Southeast European (CESEE) economies will experience on average a minor rebound of economic growth to 1% in 2010 which will speed up to 2.5% in 2011 and 3.5% in 2012. GDP growth will be higher in the CIS countries and in Turkey, about average in the Central European N...more |
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FDI in the CEECs hit hard by the global crisis (press conference presentation in German) (by Gabor Hunya) wiiw Press Conference, 8 June 2010, 10 a.m. DETAILS FREE DOWNLOAD |
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Crisis Is Over, but Problems Loom Ahead (press conference presentation in German) (by Peter Havlik and Michael Landesmann) wiiw Press Conference, 4 March 2010, 10 a.m. DETAILS FREE DOWNLOAD The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies (wiiw) has just published its latest Analyses and Forecasts. The report, titled Crisis Is Over, but Problems Loom Ahead, analyses recent economic developments and short- and medium-term prospects of the countries of Central and Eastern Europe, Southeast Europe including Turkey, as well as Kazakhstan, Russia, Ukraine and China. Most countries in Central, East and Southeast Europe have emerged from the trough of the crisis already at the end of 2009. Several leading indicators point to a modest upswing. All countries in the regio...more |
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The global crisis and the countries of Central, East and Southeast Europe: discussion of economic impacts and outlook for the region (German) (by Peter Havlik and Michael Landesmann) wiiw Press Conference, 6 November 2009, 10 a.m. DETAILS FREE DOWNLOAD |
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Current economic situation and medium-term forecast for the countries of Central, East and Southeast Europe (German) (by Josef Pöschl and Sandor Richter) wiiw Press Conference, 7 July 2009, 10 a.m. DETAILS FREE DOWNLOAD |
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FDI in the CEECs under the Impact of the Global Crisis: Sharp Declines (German) (by Gabor Hunya) wiiw Press Conference, 9 June 2009, 10 a.m. DETAILS FREE DOWNLOAD wiiw presents its new analysis of FDI developments in 20 Central, East and Southeast European countries, based on the latest update of the wiiw FDI Database. German: Das wiiw präsentiert seine aktuelle Analyse der Entwicklung der Auslandsinvestitionen in Zentral-, Ost- und Südosteuropa, sowie den Update der "FDI Database" mit detaillierten Statistiken über Auslandsinvestitionen in 20 Ländern....more |
