Serbia

Slow recovery in tandem with investment and export growth is to be expected over the medium term. Growth over the next three years or so should reach 2% or slightly more, if the fiscal consolidation programme and structural reforms are put into effect. Industrial production, in particular manufacturing, should grow, as should certain exportable services. Growth in wages and consumption, however, should be only relatively slow.

map Serbia
        FORECAST*
Main Economic Indicators201320142015201620172018
Population, 1000 persons.716771327040...
GDP, real change in %2.6-1.80.71.61.72.0
GDP per capita (EUR at PPP)101001020010600...
Gross industrial production, real change in %5.4-6.48.4...
Unemployment rate - LFS, in %, average22.119.217.717.017.016.0
Average gross monthly wages, EUR537524506...
Consumer prices, % p.a.7.82.91.92.03.03.0
Fiscal balance in % of GDP-5.5-6.6-3.8...
Public debt in % of GDP59.670.476.0...
Current account in % of GDP-6.1-6.0-4.8-6.0-6.0-6.0
FDI inflow, EUR mn154815002114...
Gross external debt in % of GDP74.877.180.1...


Basic data are continuously updated.

* Forecasts are changed beginning of March, July and November.
See Press Conferences.

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SERBIA: Early elections and reforms

Vladimir Gligorov
in: Growth Stabilises: Investment a Major Driver, Except in Countries Plagued by Recession
wiiw Forecast Report No. Spring 2016, , pp. 117-120
Details and Buy

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Monthly Report No. 9/2015

Amat Adarov, Fatos Hoxha, Werner Laventure and Isilda Mara
wiiw Monthly Report No. 9,
47 pages including 3 Tables and 33 Figures

Details


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