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Vasily Astrov
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Vasily Astrov Economist e-mail: astrov@wiiw.ac.at Phone: (+43-1) 533 66 10-30 Ukraine, Belarus, Russia, CIS; macroeconomic analysis; financial markets; energy issues |
External Publications
Articles in refereed journals
- 'The Russian oil fund as a tool of stabilization and sterilization', Focus on European Economic Integration, Nr. 1, 2007, pp. 167-176
http://www.oenb.at/de/img/feei_2007_1_astrov_tcm14-58446.pdf - 'The Enlarged European Union and Its Eastern Neighbourhood' (with Peter Havlik), Journal of East-West Business, Vol. 11, No. 1/2, 2005, pp. 13-44
- 'The Enlarged European Union and Its Eastern Neighbourhood' (with Peter Havlik), in: K. Liuhto and Z. Vincze (eds), Wider Europe, Esa Print Oy, 2005, pp. 169-195
Articles in books
- 'Aktuelle Entwicklungen und Herausforderungen der Weltwirtschaft' (with Roman Stöllinger and Waltraut Urban), Österreichs Aussenwirtschaft 2010, Chapter 1, Kompetenzzentrum FIW, Vienna, December 2010, pp. 17-38
- 'Rahmenbedingungen des Welthandels' (with Olga Pindyuk, Roman Stöllinger and Waltraut Urban), Österreichs Außenwirtschaft 2009, Chapter 2, Kompetenzzentrum FIW, Vienna, December 2009, pp. 31-53
- 'Austria: relations with Russia and implications for the EU Eastern Partnership', in: G. Foti and Z. Ludvig (eds), EU-Russian relations and the Eastern Partnership: Central-East European member state interests and positions, East European Studies Nr. 1, Institute for World Economics of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences, Budapest, 2009, pp. 165-182
- 'Ausblick für die mittel- und osteuropäischen Länder (MOEL 5 und SOEL 9) und Russland', Österreichs Außenwirtschaft 2008, Kompetenzzentrum 'Forschungsschwerpunkt Internationale Wirtschaft', Wien, 2008
- 'Russia, Ukraine and Belarus: Effects of WTO Accession in the Medium and Long Run' (with Mario Holzner, Olga Pindyuk and Julia Wörz), in: Ruslan Grinberg, Peter Havlik and Oleh Havrylyshyn (eds), Economic Restructuring and Integration in Eastern Europe. Experiences and Policy implications, Nomos, Baden-Baden, 2008, pp. 377-396
- 'The Russian oil fund(s): past performance and policy options', in: E. Gnan and M. Gudmundsson (eds), Commodities, energy and finance', SUERF Studies Nr. 2008/2, 2008, pp. 77-89
- 'Economic Developments in the Wider Black Sea Region' (with Peter Havlik), in: D. Hamilton and Gerhard Mangott (eds), The Wider Black Sea Region in the 21st Century, Center for Transatlantic Relations, John Hopkins University, Washington D.C., 2008, pp. 121-146
- 'Ukraine, Belarus and Moldova: Economic Developments and Integration Prospects' (with Peter Havlik), in: D. Hamilton and Gerhard Mangott (eds), The New Eastern Europe: Ukraine, Belarus & Moldova, Center for Transatlantic Relations, John Hopkins University, Washington D.C., 2007, pp. 127-147
- 'Sectoral productivity, demand, and terms of trade: what drives the real appreciation of East European currencies?', in: W. Bagatelas and B. Sergi (eds), Ethical interpretations of post-communist transition economics and politics in Europe, Iura Edition, Bratislava, 2005, pp. 167-199
Articles in non-refereed journals
- 'Recent developments in Austrian foreign trade' (with Yvonne Wolfmayr), Danube Law and Economics Review, No. 4, 2012, pp. 55-67
http://www.eaco.eu/documents/issue/astrov.pdf - 'Wirtschaftsentwicklung divergiert in den kommenden Jahren auch in Mitteleuropa, Ost- und Südosteuropa zwischen Norden und Süden' (with Doris Hanzl-Weiss, Mario Holzner and Sebastian Leitner), WIFO Monatsbericht, Vol. 85, No. 5, 2012, pp. 351-359
- 'Stabilisierung des verhaltenen Aufschwungs in den MOEL' (with Mario Holzner and Sebastian Leitner), WIFO Monatsbericht, Vol. 84, No. 5, 2011, pp. 361-373
- 'MOEL im Sog der Krise' (with Josef Pöschl), WIFO Monatsbericht, Vol. 82, No. 5, 2009, pp. 347-360
- 'MOEL: Wachstumsvorsprung gegenüber Westeuropa bleibt erhalten', WIFO Monatsbericht, Vol. 81, No. 5, 2008, pp. 377-392
- 'Wirtschaftswachstum in den MOEL zunehmend durch heimische Nachfrage getragen', WIFO Monatsbericht, Vol. 80, No. 5, 2007, pp. 435-449
- 'Wirtschaftsaufschwung hält in den MOEL an', WIFO Monatsbericht, Vol. 79, No. 5, 2006, pp. 385-401
- 'Unterschiedliche Einflüsse beschleunigen Wachstum in den MOEL', WIFO Monatsbericht, Vol. 78, No. 5, 2005, pp. 353-371
- 'Wirtschaftsentwicklung in den MOEL durch deutliche Konvergenz geprägt', WIFO Monatsbericht, Vol. 77, No. 5, 2004, pp. 383-401
- 'Belarus', Central European Quarterly, No. 1, 1998, pp. 93-95
Shorter papers and comments
- 'The EU and Russia: both important for Ukraine', Eastern Partnership Community, May 2011
http://www.easternpartnership.org/community/debate/eu-and-russia-both-important-ukraine - '"Nabucco" muß noch warten – dennoch: Europas Energiesicherheit weiterhin von Gasversorgung abhängig', Sparkassenzeitung , No. 1, January 2011
- 'Das weißrussische Wirtschaftswunder: keine Reform, keine Krise?', Belarus, Beilage der Wiener Zeitung, Vienna, 2010
- '50 electoral constituencies - 5 variants for the voting behaviour in Sankt-Petersburg (in Russian)', Chas Pik, 16 March 1994, pp. 3
- 'Geographical aspects of the political panorama of Sankt-Peterburg (in Russian)', Chas Pik, 19 January 1994, pp. 3
Other working papers and discussion series
- 'A note on Kazakhstan’s Oil Fund ', ICEUR Insight Studies, Vol. 1, November 2012
- 'Aktuelle Entwicklungen im Außenhandel', FIW Kurzbericht, Nr. 9, September 2012
http://www.fiw.ac.at/fileadmin/Documents/Publikationen/Kurzbericht/09.Kurzbericht_September_2012.pdf - 'Aktuelle Entwicklungen im Außenhandel' (with Susanne Sieber), FIW Kurzbericht, Nr. 7, März 2012
http://www.fiw.ac.at/fileadmin/Documents/Publikationen/Kurzbericht/07.Kurzbericht_Maerz_2012.pdf - 'Aktuelle Entwicklungen im Außenhandel' (with Susanne Sieber), FIW Kurzbericht, Nr. 5, September 2011
http://www.fiw.ac.at/fileadmin/Documents/Publikationen/Kurzbericht/05.Kurzbericht_September_2011.pdf - 'Russia’s WTO accession and Austria', in: H.G. Heinrich and L. Lobova (eds), Russia and the WTO: new opportunities for European business, Strategic and Business Intelligence, No. 1, ICEUR-Vienna, pp. 45-56, 2011
- 'EU and BRICs: Challenges and opportunities for European competitiveness and cooperation' (with Edward Christie, Bernhard Dachs, Jayati Ghosh, Peter Havlik, Gabor Hunya, Carolina Lennon, Olga Pindyuk, M. Poplawski Ribeiro, Roman Stöllinger and Waltraut Urban), Industrial Policy and Economic Reform Papers, No. 13, July 2009
- 'EU and BRICs: Challenges and opportunities for European competitiveness and cooperation' (with Edward Christie, Bernhard Dachs, Jayati Ghosh, Peter Havlik, Gabor Hunya, Carolina Lennon, Olga Pindyuk, M. Poplawski Ribeiro, Roman Stöllinger and Waltraut Urban), European Competitiveness Report 2009, Brussels, 2009
- 'Russia, Ukraine and Belarus: Effects of WTO Accession in the Medium and Long Run' (with Mario Holzner, Olga Pindyuk and Julia Wörz), The Industrial Restructuring in the NMS: Experience and Lessons for NIS, May 2007
- 'Sources of economic growth', in: G. Foti and Z. Ludvig (eds), The Ukrainian economy in Europe', No. 175, Institute for World Economics, Hungarian Academy of Sciences, Budapest, Mai 2007
- 'Profil und Strategien in der Ukraine' (with Heinz Handler), Dezember 2005, Österreichisches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung (WIFO)
wiiw Publications
wiiw Current Analyses and Forecasts
- 'Double-dip recession over, yet no boom in sight', Double-dip Recession over, yet no Boom in Sight, wiiw Current Analyses and Forecasts, No. 11, Vienna, March 2013, pp. 6-24
- 'Ukraine: Slipping into recession', Double-dip Recession over, yet no Boom in Sight, wiiw Current Analyses and Forecasts, No. 11, Vienna, March 2013, pp. 131-135
- 'Ukraine: Social spending spree', Fasting or Feasting? Europe - Old and New - at the Crossroads, wiiw Current Analyses and Forecasts, No. 10, Vienna, July 2012, pp. 122-125
- 'Ukraine: Association agreement with the EU delayed', New Divide(s) in Europe?, wiiw Current Analyses and Forecasts, No. 9, Vienna, March 2012, pp. 119-122
- 'Ukraine: IMF programme off-track', Recovery: Limp and Battered, wiiw Current Analyses and Forecasts, No. 8, Vienna, July 2011, pp. 119-122
- 'Ukraine: Advancing state's withdrawal from the economy', in: Peter Havlik (ed), Recovery - in Low Gear across Tough Terrain, wiiw Current Analyses and Forecasts, No. 7, Vienna, March 2011, pp. 105-108
- 'Ukraine: Exports to the rescue', in: Vasily Astrov and Mario Holzner (eds), Will Exports Prevail over Austerity?, wiiw Current Analyses and Forecasts, No. 6, Vienna, July 2010, pp. 126-129
- 'Ukraine: Fiscal and other concerns', in: Josef Pöschl and Sandor Richter (eds), Crisis Is Over, but Problems Loom Ahead, wiiw Current Analyses and Forecasts, No. 5, Vienna, February 2010
- 'Ukraine: back to external equilibrium', in: Sandor Richter (ed), Where Have All the Shooting Stars Gone?, wiiw Current Analyses and Forecasts, No. 4, Vienna, July 2009, 116-120
- 'Special topic: The global financial crisis, oil prices and the economies of Central and Eastern Europe', Differentiated Impact of the Global Crisis, wiiw Current Analyses and Forecasts, No. 3, Vienna, February 2009, pp. 111-112
- 'Ukraine: in the midst of economic meltdown', Differentiated Impact of the Global Crisis, wiiw Current Analyses and Forecasts, No. 3, Vienna, February 2009, pp. 96-102
- 'Russian Federation: oil price surge, new leadership and old problems' (with Peter Havlik), The Big Boom Is Over, but Growth Remains Strong and Inflation Calms Down, wiiw Current Analyses and Forecasts, No. 2, Vienna, July 2008, pp. 114-126
- 'Ukraine: a new WTO member', The Big Boom Is Over, but Growth Remains Strong and Inflation Calms Down, wiiw Current Analyses and Forecasts, No. 2, Vienna, July 2008, pp. 127-131
- 'Ukraine: fiscal expansion at a time of boom', Weathering the Global Storm, yet Rising Costs and Labour Shortages May Dampen Domestic Growth, wiiw Current Analyses and Forecasts, No. 1, Vienna, February 2008, pp. 90-93
wiiw Monthly Reports
- 'Labour costs, external competitiveness and economic growth in new EU member states', in: Leon Podkaminer (ed), Monthly Report No. 2/2013, wiiw Monthly Report, No. 2, Vienna, February 2013, pp. 4-11
- 'A note on Kazakhstan’s Oil Fund ', in: Leon Podkaminer (ed), Monthly Report No. 12/2012, wiiw Monthly Report, No. 12, Vienna, December 2012, pp. 9-14
- 'Eurozone crisis and fiscal austerity push half of the CESEE region into recession ', in: Leon Podkaminer (ed), Monthly Report No. 11/2012, wiiw Monthly Report, No. 11, Vienna, November 2012, pp. 1-3
- 'Ukraine: incumbent political elite retains its grip', in: Leon Podkaminer (ed), Monthly Report No. 11/2012, wiiw Monthly Report, No. 11, Vienna, November 2012, pp. 26-28
- 'Trade and economic integration in the CIS: an evaluation ' (with Peter Havlik and Olga Pindyuk), in: Leon Podkaminer (ed), Monthly Report No. 8-9/2012, wiiw Monthly Report, No. 8-9, Vienna, August-September 2012, pp. 1-6
- 'Russia's WTO accession: impacts on Austria', in: Leon Podkaminer (ed), Monthly Report No. 1/2012, wiiw Monthly Report, No. 1, Vienna, January 2012, pp. 3-11
- 'Ukraine: countering the depreciation pressures', in: Leon Podkaminer (ed), Monthly Report No. 11/2011, wiiw Monthly Report, No. 11, Vienna, November 2011, pp. 30-32
- 'The EU and Russia: both important for Ukraine', in: Leon Podkaminer (ed), Monthly Report No. 7/2011, wiiw Monthly Report, No. 7, Vienna, July 2011, pp. 8-9
- 'The gas and electricity sectors of the Western Balkan countries' (with Doris Hanzl-Weiss), in: Leon Podkaminer (ed), Monthly Report No. 4/2011, wiiw Monthly Report, No. 4, Vienna, April 2011, pp. 7-12
- 'Ukraine: the return of high inflation', in: Leon Podkaminer (ed), Monthly Report No. 11/2010, wiiw Monthly Report, No. 11, Vienna, October 2010, pp. 24-26
- 'The current state and prospects of the Russian energy sector', Monthly Report No. 5/2010, wiiw Monthly Report, No. 5, Vienna, May 2010, pp. 3-5
- 'Ukraine: ongoing credit crunch', Monthly Report No. 11/2009, wiiw Monthly Report, No. 11, Vienna, November 2009, pp. 4-6
- 'Austria's economic relations with Ukraine', Monthly Report No. 8-9/2009, wiiw Monthly Report, No. 8-9, Vienna, August-September 2009, pp. 1-3
- 'Austria's economic relations with Russia', in: Leon Podkaminer (ed), Monthly Report No. 7/2009, wiiw Monthly Report, No. 7, Vienna, July 2009, pp. 1-5
- 'Crisis management in selected countries of Central, East and Southeast Europe' (with Gabor Hunya, Sebastian Leitner, Zdenek Lukas, Anton Mihailov and Sandor Richter), in: Leon Podkaminer (ed), Monthly Report No. 6/2009, wiiw Monthly Report, No. 6, Vienna, June 2009, pp. 1-10
- 'Ukraine: 'hard landing' in sight', Monthly Report No. 11/2008, wiiw Monthly Report, No. 11, Vienna, November 2008, pp. 5-7
- 'Economic consequences of the Georgian-Russian conflict' (with Peter Havlik), Monthly Report No. 8-9/2008, wiiw Monthly Report, No. 8-9, Vienna, September 2008, pp. 1-11
- 'Armenia and Azerbaijan: recent economic developments and policy challenges', Monthly Report No. 3/2008, wiiw Monthly Report, No. 3, Vienna, March 2008, pp. 1-5
- 'Ukraine: mounting inflationary pressures', Monthly Report No. 11/2007, wiiw Monthly Report, No. 11, Vienna, November 2007, pp. 4-6
- 'The Russian Oil Fund as a tool of stabilization and sterilization', Monthly Report No. 7/2007, wiiw Monthly Report, No. 7, Vienna, July 2007, pp. 1-8
- 'Kazakhstan: an economic assessment', Monthly Report No. 5/2007, wiiw Monthly Report, No. 5, Vienna, May 2007, pp. 1-4
- 'Ukraine: the time of big business returns', Monthly Report No. 11/2006, wiiw Monthly Report, No. 11, Vienna, November 2006, pp. 5-7
- 'The Russian-Ukrainian gas deal: a question mark', Monthly Report No. 2/2006, wiiw Monthly Report, No. 2, Vienna, February 2006, pp. 2-3
- 'Ukraine: policy-making becomes more balanced', Monthly Report No. 11/2005, wiiw Monthly Report, Vienna, pp. 5-7
- 'Turkish Straits as a chokepoint for energy transit', Monthly Report No. 3/2005, wiiw Monthly Report, No. 3, Vienna, March 2005, pp. 10-12
- 'Debt, equity and financial vulnerability of countries', Monthly Report No. 1/2005, wiiw Monthly Report, No. 1, Vienna, January 2005, pp. 8-10
- 'Ukraine: a good grain harvest and booming exports', Monthly Report No. 11/2004, wiiw Monthly Report, No. 11, Vienna, November 2004, pp. 16-18
- 'Belarus: sustainable growth without structural reforms?', Monthly Report 7/2004, wiiw Monthly Report, No. 7, Vienna, July 2004, pp. 1-7
- 'Ukraine, the European Union and EU Eastern enlargement', Monthly Report 5/2004, wiiw Monthly Report, No. 5, Vienna, May 2004, pp. 1-6
- 'The Common Economic Space agreement: origin and prospects', Monthly Report 1/2004, wiiw Monthly Report, No. 1, Vienna, January 2004, pp. 8-14
- 'Iraq crisis, oil price and economies in transition', Monthly Report 03/2003, wiiw Monthly Report, No. 3, Vienna, March 2003, pp. 1-5
wiiw Research Reports
- 'European Neighbourhood - Challenges and Opportunities for EU Competitiveness' (with Peter Havlik, Mario Holzner, Gabor Hunya, Isilda Mara, Sandor Richter, Roman Stöllinger and Hermine Vidovic), wiiw Research Report, No. 382, Vienna, September 2012
- 'Trade Integration in the CIS: Alternate Options, Economic Effects and Policy Implications for Belarus, Kazakhstan, Russia and Ukraine' (with Peter Havlik and Olga Pindyuk), wiiw Research Report, No. 381, Vienna, September 2012
- 'Western Balkans: Employment in the Gas and Electricity Sectors ' (with Edward Christie, Doris Hanzl-Weiss, Mario Holzner, Sebastian Leitner, Waltraut Urban and Hermine Vidovic), wiiw Research Report, No. 370, Vienna, March 2011
- 'Ukraine, the European Union and the International Community: Current Challenges and the Agenda for Overcoming the Stalemate' (with Igor Burakovsky, Grzegorz Gromadzki, Peter Havlik and Vasyl Yurchyshyn), wiiw Research Report, No. 364, Vienna, July 2010
- 'Current State and Prospects of the Russian Energy Sector', wiiw Research Report, No. 363, Vienna, June 2010
- 'Economic Developments in the Wider Black Sea Region' (with Peter Havlik), wiiw Research Report, No. 349, Vienna, September 2008
- 'Ukraine: external surpluses are over', High Growth Continues, with Risks of Overheating on the Horizon, wiiw Research Report, No. 341, Vienna, July 2007, pp. 118-121
- 'Ukraine: riding on the wave of high steel prices', Private Consumption and Flourishing Exports Keep the Region on High Growth Track, wiiw Research Report, No. 335, Vienna, February 2007, pp. 108-111
- 'Ukraine: Current Economic Situation and Future Prospects', wiiw Research Report, No. 331, Vienna, October 2006
- 'Ukraine: economy withstanding the gas price shock', Broader-based Growth Resilient to Global Uncertainties, wiiw Research Report, No. 328, Vienna, July 2006, pp. 97-100
- 'Ukraine: 'market economy' at last', Strong Growth, Driven by Exports in the NMS and by Consumption in the Future EU Members, wiiw Research Report, No. 325, Vienna, February 2006, pp. 91-94
- 'Ukraine: deteriorating investment climate', Back from the Peak, Growth in Transition Countries Returns to Standard Rate of Catching-up, wiiw Research Report, No. 320, Vienna, July 2005, pp. 89-92
- 'Ukraine: in a new political setting', Accelerating GDP Growth, Improved Prospects for European Integration, wiiw Research Report, No. 314, Vienna, March 2005, pp. 104-107
- 'Belarus: private consumption drives growth acceleration', Accelerating GDP Growth, Improved Prospects for European Integration, wiiw Research Report, No. 314, Vienna, March 2005, pp. 101-104
- 'Belarus: an unreformed economy recording high growth', As East You Go, the More They Grow: Transition Economies in a New Setting, wiiw Research Report, No. 308, Vienna, July 2004, pp. 92-94
- 'Ukraine: signs of 'overheating'', As East You Go, the More They Grow: Transition Economies in a New Setting, wiiw Research Report, No. 308, Vienna, July 2004, pp. 94-97
- 'European Union, Russia and Ukraine: Creating New Neighbourhoods' (with Peter Havlik), wiiw Research Report, No. 305, Vienna, April 2004
- 'Ukraine: parliamentary crisis against the background of strong economic performance', Transition Countries on the Eve of EU Enlargement, wiiw Research Report, No. 303, Vienna, February 2004, pp. 89-92
- 'Regional Issues, Banking Reform and Related Credit Risk in Russia', wiiw Research Report, No. 300, Vienna, September 2003
- 'The Russian Oil and Gas Sector: Facing the New Challenges', wiiw Research Report, No. 294, Vienna, February 2003
- 'Prospects for Development in South-East Europe (Reprint; first published by Bank Austria, Vienna, December 2000)' (with Vladimir Gligorov), wiiw Research Report, No. 276, Vienna, April 2001
wiiw Working Papers
wiiw Policy Notes and Reports
wiiw Research Papers in German Language
- 'Wirtschaftsentwicklung divergiert in den kommenden Jahren auch in Mitteleuropa, Ost- und Südosteuropa zwischen Norden und Süden ' (with Doris Hanzl-Weiss, Mario Holzner and Sebastian Leitner), wiiw Research Papers in German language, No. 2012-06, Vienna, June 2012
- 'Stabilisierung des verhaltenen Aufschwungs in den MOEL' (with Mario Holzner and Sebastian Leitner), wiiw Research Papers in German language, No. 2011-06, Vienna, June 2011
- 'Die wirtschaftliche Entwicklung in der Schwarzmeerregion und Herausforderungen für eine Internationalisierungsoffensive Österreichs ' (with Peter Havlik, Gabor Hunya and Josef Pöschl), wiiw Research Papers in German language, No. 2010-10, Vienna, October 2010
- 'MOEL im Sog der Krise (CEECs Falling Prey to the International Crisis)' (with Josef Pöschl), wiiw Research Papers in German language, No. 2009-05, Vienna, May 2009
- 'MOEL: Wachstumsvorsprung gegenüber Westeuropa bleibt erhalten', wiiw Research Papers in German language, Vienna
- 'Wirtschaftswachstum in den MOEL zunehmend durch heimische Nachfrage getragen', wiiw Research Papers in German language, Vienna
- 'Wirtschaftswachstum hält in den MOEL an', wiiw Research Papers in German language, Vienna
- 'Unterschiedliche Einflüsse beschleunigen Wachstum in den MOEL', wiiw Research Papers in German language, Vienna
- 'Wirtschaftsentwicklung in den MOEL durch deutliche Konvergenz geprägt', wiiw Research Papers in German language, Vienna
Other wiiw publications
- 'The Ukrainian Economy between Russia and the Enlarged EU: Consequences for Trade and Investment' (with Zdenek Lukas and Josef Pöschl), wiiw Country Profiles, No. 23, Vienna, March 2006
- 'Turkey: Macroeconomic Vulnerability, Competitiveness and the Labour Market' (with Josef Pöschl, Hermine Vidovic and Julia Wörz), wiiw Country Profiles, No. 21, Vienna, April 2005
- 'Russia - Ukraine - CIS at the beginning of the year 2000. Hybrid economies benefit from devaluation' (with Helen Boss and Peter Havlik), wiiw Country Profiles, No. 14, Vienna, March 2000
